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## Business Leaders’ Outlook on Impending General Election

Thanks for joining me. We begin the day with the outlook on the impending general election from business leaders. The head of the Federation of Small Businesses, which represents more than 500,000 small enterprises and traders, said victory is not in the bag for either party, although they are starting to feel more confident. With the election looming, business leaders are closely monitoring the situation, anticipating potential shifts in the economic landscape based on the election outcome.

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## 5 Things to Kickstart Your Day

1) **Traders bet against summer rate cut despite fall in inflation** | As the looming election and higher-than-predicted price rises push expectations back to November, traders are reconsidering their positions in the market.
2) **CVC and Abu Dhabi mount £5bn bid for Hargreaves Lansdown** | The potential acquisition of Hargreaves Lansdown by CVC and Abu Dhabi raises questions about the future of the UK stock market.
3) **Barclay family launches forced sale of Very Group** | With a dwindling business empire, the Barclays are looking to offload the retailer to address mounting debts.
4) **Anglo American agrees to takeover talks with BHP** | The FTSE mining giant’s negotiations with rival BHP could lead to a significant consolidation in the industry.
5) **Jeremy Warner: The economic stars aligned for an early election. The Tories had nothing left to lose** | Sunak’s understanding of the temporary respite in economic challenges highlights the complexities of the current political climate.

## What Happened Overnight in the Markets

Several Asian share benchmarks fell as markets digested the implications of policymakers in major economies preferring to take a patient approach to cutting interest rates. Geopolitical tensions added to the uncertainty, with China’s military conducting “punishment” drills around Taiwan. This led to declines in Chinese blue chips and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index. The broader market also saw losses, with MSCI’s Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index affected by a pullback in commodity prices.

Investors reacted to more hawkish-than-expected minutes from the Federal Reserve, higher than expected UK inflation, and a sobering assessment of New Zealand’s inflation issues by reducing their expectations for global rate cuts. In the US, major indices like the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced declines, reflecting the cautious sentiment in the markets.

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