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## Increase in COVID-19 Hospitalizations on Long Island Signals a Growing Trend

The number of individuals hospitalized with COVID-19 on Long Island has significantly increased in the past month, highlighting a steady rise in cases throughout the region. This summer has witnessed a gradual but consistent surge in hospitalizations, partially driven by the emergence of new subvariants. However, it is important to note that although the present hospitalization rates are higher than in recent times, they remain lower than the peak days of the pandemic. As of Friday, Long Island reported a total of 157 hospitalizations due to COVID-19, significantly lower than the 447 hospitalizations recorded a year ago and the staggering 4,000 hospitalizations in April 2020. Comparatively, on July 14, Long Island recorded only 67 hospitalizations for COVID-19.

## Monitoring the Situation Cautiously

Dr. Bruce Farber, the Chief of Public Health and Epidemiology at Northwell Health, emphasized the need for vigilance in response to the rising numbers. Dr. Farber stressed that closely monitoring these figures is imperative, considering the prevalence of infection clusters. While he does not advocate for panic, he acknowledged the increasing likelihood of a more challenging fall season, foreseeing significant changes potentially taking place in October or November. Northwell Health experienced a surge in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 on Long Island, with the number surging from 46 to 106 since July 14.

## Positivity Rates and Underreported Testing Results

Northwell’s GoHealth urgent care systems reported a significant spike in the positivity rate among those getting tested, with the rate soaring to 25%, according to Dr. Farber. However, experts caution that these figures considerably underestimate the actual positivity rates. This discrepancy stems from the fact that a large portion of test results remains unreported to the government, and numerous individuals choose not to get tested.

## Role of New Subvariants and Other Contributing Factors

Experts pointed out that the rise in COVID-19 cases on Long Island can be attributed to the emergence of new subvariants, such as EG. 5 and FL. 1.5.1, which are descendants of the omicron variant. However, other factors also contribute to the increasing cases, including the summer heat wave. The intensifying heat causes many people to seek refuge indoors with air conditioning, inadvertently increasing their exposure to individuals infected with COVID-19, as noted by Dr. Susan Donelan, the medical director of health care epidemiology at Stony Brook Medicine.

## Boosting Immunity through Vaccination

The increasing number of hospitalizations and cases is also linked to the relatively low vaccination rates. Many individuals have not received booster shots, and those who have may have done so months ago, rendering them more susceptible to severe illness caused by the virus. Fortunately, a new booster shot specifically designed to combat the latest variants is expected to become available in a few weeks. This updated booster will undoubtedly enhance the protection against the virus as people return to school or office jobs following the end of summer.

## Preparing for Potential Spikes

While the current increase in hospitalizations and cases is currently categorized as a “swell” rather than a “surge,” individuals should assess their own health situations to determine the best approach to mitigate risks. Elderly individuals, those who are immunocompromised, pregnant individuals, and others with specific health considerations are advised to exercise increased vigilance in crowded gatherings, take precautions such as mask-wearing, maintain distance, and opt for outdoor meetings whenever possible.

## Experience and Preparedness of Healthcare Workers

Dr. Alan Bulbin, the Director of Infectious Disease at Catholic Health St. Francis Hospital & Heart Center in Roslyn, highlights the significance of healthcare workers’ experience gained from the first wave of the pandemic in effectively managing the current situation. Even in the face of a potential spike, healthcare workers possess a greater understanding of COVID-19 and are better equipped to control any overwhelming surge, ensuring appropriate care is provided.

## Long-Term Outlook

Dr. Donelon believes that COVID-19 will continue to be a part of people’s lives for the foreseeable future. Thus, it is essential for individuals to accept and adapt to this reality. Additionally, state health officials such as Dr. James McDonald stress the importance of treating COVID-19 as a manageable disease. Emphasizing that COVID tests are highly accurate and easily accessible, Dr. McDonald urges those who test positive to promptly consult healthcare providers for appropriate treatment, thereby reducing the risk of hospitalization and fatalities.

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