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Reform UK Gains Momentum in Polls Amidst Conservative Party Controversy

Reform UK, led by Richard Tice, has seen a surge in popularity, with the party now polling consistently in joint third place alongside the Liberal Democrats. The increasing support for Reform UK comes in the midst of dissatisfaction towards the Conservative Party’s handling of illegal migration, as evidenced by The Telegraph’s tracker.

Currently holding a 10 per cent share of national voting intention, Reform UK is now on an equal footing with the Liberal Democrats. The party’s growing momentum has sparked concern among Tory MPs, particularly regarding the Conservative Party’s stance on migration. Sir Simon Clarke, a former Cabinet minister, even called for Rishi Sunak to resign, warning of an electoral “massacre” under his leadership, further highlighting the internal issues within the Conservative Party.

Despite the calls for change, there has been significant condemnation of Clarke’s remarks, with many colleagues rallying around Rishi Sunak. However, signs of division within the Conservative Party are becoming increasingly apparent, while Reform UK continues to gain groundswell in support. In fact, one poll even placed the party at 13 per cent, marking it as the most popular it has ever been and only seven points behind the Conservatives.

As Reform UK’s support grows, Rishi Sunak is looking to push his flagship Rwanda Bill through the legislative process in hopes of boosting his electoral chances. However, challenges lie ahead, including the bill’s passage through the House of Lords and a potential showdown with the European Court of Human Rights over a deportation scheme.

Amidst the shifting political landscape, polling indicates that less than half of 2019 Tory voters would choose the Conservative Party again, with a notable 18 per cent expressing their support for Reform UK if an election were held tomorrow. Labour, the leading party in recent polls, narrowly edged out Reform UK in the Redfield and Wilton Strategies poll.

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