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Is Russia’s Most Infamous Mercenary Back to Business?

Introduction

Russia’s most infamous mercenary, Yevgeny Prigozhin, leader of the Wagner private military group, has resurfaced in an unexpected location – Africa. While his fighters have largely withdrawn from the front lines in Ukraine, their operations on the African continent have gained significant attention. These operations, controversial and lucrative as they may be, appear to be indispensable to the increasingly isolated Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Africa: A New Center for Russian Statecraft

A photograph has emerged, showing Yevgeny Prigozhin shaking hands with a man at the Russia-Africa summit, hosted by President Putin. This image indicates that Putin is keen on keeping the Wagner network alive as a tool of clandestine Russian statecraft in Africa. Andreas Krieg, a professor at King’s College London and an expert on private military companies, highlights Putin’s vested interest in the continent. The Wagner Group’s involvement in Africa provides Putin with a political and financial foothold in emerging economies.

The Wagner Group’s Operations in Africa

The now-deleted image showed Prigozhin shaking hands with a man wearing a lanyard matching the branding of the summit. Dimitri Sytyi, who was named by Prigozhin as having a major role in Wagner’s operations in the Central African Republic, shared the image. Reports from June suggest that Wagner has taken control of a major gold mine in the Central African Republic, although this has never been officially confirmed. The group also restricts access to mining sites it controls, according to U.S. sanction documents.

A Critical Question: Wagner’s Engagement in Niger

The recent coup in Niger has brought Wagner’s ambitions on the continent into focus. Video footage showed supporters of the coup waving Russian flags and flags bearing the insignia of Wagner, chanting slogans against France. The question now arises whether Niger will engage Wagner, similar to the neighboring countries of Mali and Burkina Faso. Both Mali and Burkina Faso have expelled French forces, and France has relocated over 1,000 personnel to Niger after withdrawing from Mali. An audio message purportedly featuring Prigozhin highlights Wagner’s interest in Niger and its commitment to protecting citizens.

The Security Threat and Global Impact

While Wagner has withdrawn from its front-line role in the Ukraine conflict, a report from British lawmakers emphasizes that it still poses a significant security threat to the United Kingdom and the wider Western community. The report highlights Wagner’s involvement in the politics and military management of several countries, accusing it of human rights violations, destabilizing states, and exploiting natural resources like gold and diamonds. Wagner’s clandestine capabilities in the security and information domain make it a shadowy force that could have provided support to those leading the coup in Niger.

International Relations and African Leaders

Several African leaders openly acknowledge their relationship with Russia and its surrogate private military companies. Central African Republic President Faustin Archange Touadera expressed gratitude for Russia’s assistance in saving his country’s democracy and avoiding a civil war, without mentioning Wagner specifically. Similarly, Malian President Assimi Goita thanked Putin for supporting their fight against terrorism. However, critics argue that Wagner’s presence does not bring stability but instead imposes autocratic rule and instills fear among civilians.

Conclusion: Russia’s Expanding Influence in Africa

The Wagner Group’s extensive operations in Africa serve Putin’s foreign policy goals by securing political and financial footholds in emerging economies. Russia’s preference for influencing African states’ affairs stems from its ability to bypass international rules and sanctions. While the exact role of Wagner in ongoing conflicts and political dynamics in Africa remains complex, it is clear that the group continues to play a prominent and controversial role on the continent.

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