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Hurricane Tammy Moving Away from Leeward Islands, Another System May Form

Hurricane Tammy is currently moving away from the Leeward Islands in the Caribbean and into the Atlantic. According to the National Hurricane Center, there are increased odds for another system to form, potentially becoming the season’s next tropical depression or storm.

Hurricane Tammy’s Current Position and Strength

As of 8 a.m., Hurricane Tammy’s center was approximately 60 miles northeast of Anguilla. It is moving north-northwest at 10 mph and has maximum sustained winds of 85 mph with higher gusts. The hurricane-force winds extend out 25 miles, while tropical-storm-force winds extend out 140 miles.

Hurricane Tammy Cone of Uncertainty as of 8 a.m. Sunday, Oct 22, 2023. (NHC)
Hurricane Tammy Cone of Uncertainty as of 8 a.m. Sunday, Oct 22, 2023. (NHC)

All tropical watches and warnings have ceased for the northern Leeward Islands as Hurricane Tammy moves away from land. However, there is a possibility that Tammy’s five-day path could bring it towards Bermuda.

Potential Impacts and Threats

The trailing rains from Hurricane Tammy could continue to add up to the already substantial weekend totals of up to 12 inches in some isolated areas of the islands. This poses a potential threat of flooding and mudslides.

In addition, wave heights offshore could reach 25 feet through Sunday morning. These swells can be dangerous for Atlantic-facing shores, with a threat of strong surf and heavy rip currents, according to the NHC’s Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch.

The tropical outlook as of 8 a.m. Sunday, Oct. 22, 2023. (NHC)
The tropical outlook as of 8 a.m. Sunday, Oct. 22, 2023. (NHC)

Potential Development in the Southwestern Caribbean

Meanwhile, the NHC has increased the chances of a system developing in the southwestern Caribbean. An area of low pressure off the coast of Central America has shown better organization with showers and thunderstorms.

Forecasters state that gradual development of this system is possible, and it could become a tropical depression before moving inland over Nicaragua by early Tuesday. Whether it develops or not, heavy rains over portions of Central America are expected in the next couple of days.

The NHC gives this system a 50% chance of developing within the next two to seven days. If it does form and reaches named-storm status, it would be the 21st official system of the season, potentially named Tropical Storm Vince.

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