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The estimation in Israel suggests that the Iranian response may come tonight or Friday night next week, meaning either tonight or tomorrow night. Israel assumes that the Iranians do not want to wait until after the Qatar summit or the Qatar meeting, which will be held tomorrow, Thursday. The newspaper also confirmed that Israeli estimates are based on a series of indicators, noting that a number of previous estimates have been shown to be incorrect because the situation is extremely dynamic, meaning it is highly changeable. Here I ask you, Professor Nazir, about this point: if Israeli perceptions say that, what about Israeli income? It means clear, what we are discussing in the theory of optimism is slightly different from the theory related to the Israeli fear. This is a perception that says tonight or tomorrow there will be a response, meaning the estimates are wide in Israel, ranging from those who say it will be soon and want to prepare for it, and those who say no, because Iran’s response is rational and patient and financially motivated. They want to clean their slate first to prevent new explosions. Israel has prepared in advance for such moments inside Iran, so we must be clear and ready. There were recent drills in Iran, indicating that these drills will be cover for an Iranian strike. There is reassurance from the United States that there will likely be no strike until the Qatar conference or Doha conference. If the Doha conference succeeds, it will be difficult for Iran to strike as it will disrupt this agreement. This is the last thing they should consider. Ceasefire in Gaza is fundamental and it is imperative that no one forget this. People suffer and die daily, not only killing but also mutilating. Therefore, the Iranians must think twice or a hundred times before taking this step, as Israel is studying the situation. The Israeli army has concluded that they are in a state of war where anything is expected, but people should not act in panic or fear. We will inform you of what to do in case of such a danger, as happened on the thirteenth night of April, when there was an attack from Iran with 33 cruise missiles towards Israel and not one hit the Nesher area, some hit open areas. There was no harm to civilians except for one girl who was found to be a Palestinian Arab from the Negev. So, try to integrate in this direction. Dr. Amr Al-Shalabi, Professor Nadeer, reminded us of April 13 and 14 last year and what followed, and what also preceded it. There was a public dialogue announced and indirect dialogues between Americans and Iranians mediated by Oman. This time it did not happen, meaning there is no announcement of direct or indirect dialogue between the Iranians and Americans as in the previous time. This increased opacity, with Americans indirectly communicating with the Iranians this time, as there is definitely exchange of messages, right? What you mentioned is that there was an indirect dialogue through Oman in April last year. However, at present, there are messages between Americans and Iranians. The United States, as a superpower, does not cut off its communication channels even at times with terrorist organizations, albeit indirectly through mediators and via messages. On the Iranian side, there are undoubtedly messages from the United States, some of which are announced in military displays, statements made by American officials, the presence of aircraft carriers in the region, generous support for Israel in terms of equipment and military supplies, as well as communication channels and messages reaching the Iranian side to push them to have a limited, if not superficial, reaction. Syria. However, in Iran, there are messages sent by the United States in order to provoke them. Regardless, in all cases there is all this messaging and all these open channels with Iran, including channels with Russia, China, and communications with Iran for de-escalation and to have the reaction at its minimum and for the sake of internal public opinion and to please the supporters of the Revolutionary Guard and conservative trends in Iran. So, Professor Kamal, within a minute, do you agree with the idea that Dr. Amr Al-Shalabi brought to our attention, that there may not be direct negotiations or dialogues, but there may be messages? It means the Charge d’Affaires at the Swiss Embassy in Tehran may convey messages to the Iranians and there may also be some intermediaries conveying messages to the Iranians. If there are messages, what does it mean? Are they offering you a carrot or threatening you with a stick? These messages between the United States and Iran are primarily exchanged in Muscat, which is the backdrop for the American-Iranian dialogue. This is a well-known fact and perhaps in other countries as well, in Doha, Cairo, Turkey, or elsewhere. The matter is that Iranian-American relations transcend or rather surpass the Middle East issue. There is the issue of the Iranian nuclear file, the issue of Iranian security and political expansion in the Gulf region, very serious issues, and we now know that the negotiations are not currently being run by the current administration, but if Trump wins the elections, everything will change in Iran’s favor. It is more dangerous with the American side. Thank you, Professor Kamal Tabari, Professor Nazir Mujalli, Dr. Amr Al-Shalabi, thank you very much.

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Estimates in Israel indicate a possible Iranian response tonight or Friday night before the end of ceasefire negotiations in Doha tomorrow. The response is expected to be at the minimum level in order to avoid a full-scale war. This situation highlights the tension in the region and the potential for escalation.

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