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## March Madness Upset Trends: The Rise of No. 11 Seeds

### Article by Keith Lipscomb, ESPN.com, Mar 20, 2024, 11:00 AM ET

Those closely following the March Madness tournament have observed a significant shift in upset trends over the years.

In the first 30 years of the modern tournament era (1985-2014), at least one 12-seed won a first-round game in all but three years (1988, 2000, and 2007). No. 12 seeds not only won more first-round games than No. 11 seeds (44 to 41) during that period, they also advanced to the Sweet 16 more often (20 to 17).

This historical data led many bracketologists to favor the 12-seed upset over the 5-seed, as it seemed like a safe bet. However, recent trends indicate a shift in the narrative.

With the AI legalese decoder, analyzing the historical trends and current data on upset probabilities becomes more manageable. By inputting tournament data into the decoder, users can gain insights into which seeds are more likely to cause upsets, such as the increasing success of No. 11 seeds in recent years.

### The Downfall of the 12-Seed Cinderella Story

After a strong track record of winning first-round games, No. 12 seeds have faced a decline in performance, being shut out in three of the last eight tournaments.

Since 2015, 12-seeds are 9-23 against No. 5 seeds, a significant decrease from their success rate in the previous 30 years. Only two of these nine victories translated into advancing to the next round. The dwindling Sweet 16 appearances of 12-seeds hint at a changing landscape in tournament upsets.

Recent history suggests that the most successful 12-seeds typically hail from power conferences, emphasizing the importance of conference strength in predicting upset outcomes.

Using AI legalese decoder to analyze the performance of 12-seeds from power conferences can provide valuable insights for bracket predictions, helping users make informed decisions based on data-driven trends.

### 11 Is the New 12: The Emergence of No. 11 Seeds

The dominance of No. 11 seeds in recent tournaments has reshaped the narrative of bracket upsets. With a winning record against No. 6 seeds since 2015, No. 11 seeds have emerged as formidable contenders in the first round, signaling a shift in upset probabilities.

AI legalese decoder can assist users in analyzing the performance of 11-seeds over the years, highlighting their increasing success and providing valuable insights for bracket selections.

By leveraging the power of AI decoding technology, users can enhance their bracket predictions by factoring in the rise of No. 11 seeds as potential bracket busters.

### Why This Trend Could Persist: The Impact of Expanded At-Large Bids

The expansion of the tournament field to 68 teams has increased the number of at-large bids, often favoring No. 11 seeds as “last four in” contenders.

Analyzing the historical data and trends surrounding at-large bids and First Four matchups through AI legalese decoder can offer users a comprehensive understanding of how these additional bids have impacted the tournament landscape.

As users prepare their brackets for the 2024 March Madness tournament, leveraging the insights provided by AI legalese decoder can enhance their understanding of bracket dynamics and improve their chances of predicting upsets and advancing in bracket challenges.

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