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Zijin Mining’s Ambitious Financial Forecasts for 2025 and Beyond

Projected Profits and Growth Rates

Zijin Mining, a prominent mining company based in China, has set its sights high for the fiscal year of 2025, projecting a remarkable net profit attributable to its shareholders in the range of approximately RMB51 billion (about US$7.2 billion) to RMB52 billion. This ambitious forecast translates into a year-on-year growth rate ranging from 59% to 62%. The robust growth can be attributed to several key factors, including significant production expansion, enhanced operational efficiency, and favorable commodity pricing dynamics in the global markets.

Valuation Increase and Market Positioning

In addition to its impressive profit predictions, Zijin Mining has also reported a substantial increase in its overall valuation, projected to exceed RMB880 billion by 2025. This valuation not only underscores the company’s financial health but also solidifies its position among global industry giants such as BHP and Rio Tinto. In a noteworthy advancement in its capital market strategy, the company has carried out a successful listing of its overseas gold subsidiary, Zijin Gold International, on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX). Furthermore, Zijin Mining has made strategic moves in the market by acquiring a controlling stake in Zangge Mining, thereby expanding its portfolio and solidifying its competitive edge.

Production Growth in Gold and Copper

When it comes to actual production metrics, Zijin Mining expects to mine approximately 90 tons of gold in 2025, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 23.5%. Likewise, its mined copper production is anticipated to rise by 2%, reaching 1.09 million tons. A critical factor contributing to this increased gold output has been the successful acquisition of the Akyem Gold Mine located in Ghana, along with the Raygorodok Gold Mine in Kazakhstan. Additionally, the commissioning of the Phase II expansion at the Julong Copper Mine in China, commenced in December, is expected to enhance production capabilities even further.

Ambitious Targets for 2026

Looking ahead to 2026, Zijin Mining has ambitious targets that include mining 105 tons of gold, 1.2 million tons of copper, 120,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE), and 520 tons of silver. If these goals are met, Zijin’s gold production will not only exceed the 100-ton milestone but will also significantly contribute to the company’s growth trajectory in the coming years.

Zijin’s Lithium Objectives

In a significant move to diversify its operations, Zijin Mining initiated production at the Xiangyuan Hard-Rock Lithium Mine on December 10, 2025. This facility represents the company’s first venture into lithium extraction from lepidolite, featuring an integrated mining, processing, and metallurgical operation. The project has been delivered in slightly over two years and aims for an annual mining capacity of 5 million tons, coupled with a refining capability of 30,000 tons of battery-grade lithium carbonate.

The Xiangyuan Mine seeks to tackle the challenges commonly associated with low-grade deposits by optimizing the recovery of other valuable metals, such as tin, tungsten, rubidium, and cesium, alongside lithium. According to Chen Jinghe, Chair of Zijin Mining, despite the prevailing price pressures in the market, the company remains committed to leveraging technological innovations to maximize value from these invaluable resources. This strategic movement coincides with a noticeable increase in trading activities fueled by growing demand.

Strategic Expansion and Counter-Cyclical Approaches

Zijin Mining has strategically adopted a counter-cyclical strategy, with an emphasis on advancing its portfolio termed the "Two Lakes and Two Mines." Alongside the Xiangyuan Hard-Rock Lithium Mine, significant lithium brine projects such as the Lakkor Tso Lithium Brine Project in Xizang and the 3Q Lithium Brine Project in Argentina were successfully commissioned in 2025. Moreover, the Manono Northeast Lithium Mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is slated to begin operations in 2026. With total resources estimated at 17.88 million tons of LCE, the company has set its sights on achieving an annual lithium production rate of 250,000 to 300,000 tons by 2028. If successful, this will elevate Zijin Mining into the ranks of the world’s top three to five lithium producers.

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