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Optimizing Investment Timing with AI Legalese Decoder: Leveraging Average Returns for Entry into VWCE and Other ETFs

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# Analyzing VWCE Returns
The average return for VWCE is approximately 10.5%, but currently, the year-on-year return is sitting at around 24%. This significant discrepancy raises the question of whether waiting for the return to regress towards the mean before making a purchase would be a prudent strategy.

## Doubling the Length
It is essential to consider historical data and trends when making investment decisions, especially with ETFs that have an established track record in the market. By waiting for VWCE’s return to align more closely with its average performance, investors may be able to capitalize on potential gains in the future. This approach can help mitigate risks associated with volatility and market fluctuations.

### How AI Legalese Decoder Can Help
AI Legalese Decoder can provide valuable insights and analysis on VWCE’s historical performance and projected trends. By utilizing advanced algorithms and machine learning capabilities, the platform can help investors make more informed decisions based on data-driven recommendations. This can enable investors to optimize their investment strategy and maximize returns while minimizing potential risks.

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14 Comments

  • FibonacciNeuron

    What youā€™re talking about is market timing. Usually this strategy doesnā€™t work

  • quintavious_danilo

    Tried this once. Market went up and never came back down to my desired entry point.

    Will never do it again.

  • reno911bacon

    Timing can also keep you from entering the market or position.

    If you thought Apple or NVDA was expensive years ago and didnā€™t invest, you may just keep waiting and waiting.

  • Anarkigr

    If you’re into reading, here’s a nice study of this kind of strategy strategy: [Buy the Dip](https://www.pwlcapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/PWL-Felix-Warwick-Buy-The-Dip_A.pdf). It doesn’t seem to be a good idea overall.

  • Stock_Advance_4886

    We don’t know what future holds. No matter the historical performance, in the end, it means nothing. That’s why there is a saying -When is the best time to invest – Yesterday. The second best is today. Or the third one – dollar cost averaging through some reasonable time period.

  • bkl7flex

    You’re just timing the market. Investing is the easy part, your behaviour is the tricky part.

    A friend of mine was doing that same s**t and ended up buying higher than he could’ve. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. This is no absolute science but one thing is for sure, not investing or any other way of increasing the amount of value/money you own is 100% sure way of your money losing value.
    **TLDR: Bro, just do it.**

  • AtheIstan

    Wait until it goes up 10%, then go in.

  • Miniblinn

    Time in the market beats timing the market

  • luca3m

    I think you can either decide to invest all at once, or you can invest a % every month to do cost averaging. Waiting that things go down does not work, nobody knows the future

  • Old-Respond1707

    With ETFs, you have to plan for the long term. In 20-25-30 years you will be in profit anyway, I would get in now, automate and forget about it for 20-25 years. šŸ™‚

  • Philip3197

    From sites like investing.com you can download the daily prices. You can simulate your strategy and compare with simple dca.

    Best to take a fund that exists more than a decade to remove recency bias.

  • Trick-Ad-7158

    Better to follow a DCA strategy. Whatever might happen to the market you keep buying. Keep buying the same amount of VCWE on constant time period intervals.

    If you put all your money once and the market drops it will need more time to recover. It is more risky. And even worse waiting for the dip meaning you have idle capital generating nothing. That’s just loss due the inflation trimming your capital slowly.

  • fireKido

    thatā€™s not how regression to the mean usually work.. just because it went up 24% this year doesnā€™t mean the next one it will go down to compensateā€¦ it could still go up, as down, or stay flatā€¦ the past is not a good indicator of future returnsn

  • Double_A_92

    What you described only makes sense in *hindsight*.

    If you try to do it for real you will not know when the dip finished dipping… And also the dip might not come in the near future.