# Current State of Bitcoin and Ethereum in Q1 2025

Bitcoin and Ethereum, two of the largest cryptocurrencies in terms of market capitalization, are on track to experience their most challenging first quarter in several years. Unless there is a remarkable surge in the market in the coming days, this quarter will see significant losses for both cryptocurrencies.

## Ether’s Significant Decline

As of now, Ether (ETH) has experienced a staggering decline of 37.98% during the first quarter of 2025. This marks its most substantial Q1 drop since 2018, when the cryptocurrency plummeted by 46.61%, based on data from CoinGlass. This steep decline stands in stark contrast to Ether’s historical performance, as it usually performs well during the first quarter, averaging a remarkable return of 78.23% since 2017.

## Bitcoin’s Struggles

Similarly, Bitcoin (BTC) has faced its challenges, recording a decrease of 6.49% in the same period. This decline positions it for its worst Q1 outcomes since 2020, when it faced a 10.83% drop. As the quarter approaches its end on March 31, analysts and investors alike are closely monitoring the situation, hoping for a rally that can reverse these downward trends.

### Market Outlook and Analyst Perspectives

Swyftx’s lead analyst, Pav Hundal, shared insights with Cointelegraph, indicating that the prospect of a significant upward swing in prices before the quarter wraps up appears to be unlikely. He emphasized that the crypto market is essentially “flying a little blind” until mid-April. This situation aligns with pending clarity surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff plans. Despite the hurdles, Hundal remarked that current economic data suggests a global economy that is in relatively decent shape.

Amid the uncertainty, some analysts suggest that Bitcoin could see its next major rally just weeks after April. Crypto commentator Colin Talks Crypto proposed on March 19 that Bitcoin might initiate its “next major blast-off” around April 30. Additionally, Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten expressed optimism, indicating that there is more than a 50% probability that Bitcoin will reach new all-time highs before the end of June.

## Historical Context of Q1 Performance

Historically, the first quarter has been strong for Ethereum and relatively good for Bitcoin. Over the years, Ethereum has shown an average return of 78.23% during Q1, while Bitcoin has enjoyed an average return of 51.62% since 2013. These numbers highlight the surprising downturn both cryptocurrencies are experiencing as they approach the end of March.

### Current Trading Situation

At present, Bitcoin’s trading value stands at $87,558, while Ether is priced at $2,059. Both cryptocurrencies have seen minor gains over the past 24 hours, with increases of 5.08% and 5.88%, respectively. However, the ETH/BTC ratio, which reflects Ether’s relative strength against Bitcoin, is at its lowest level since May 2020, currently resting at 0.2348, as per TradingView data.

## Overall Market Trends

The broader cryptocurrency market seems to mirror the negative trends of its two leading players. Since January 1, the entire cryptocurrency market capitalization has declined by 11.65%, currently standing at approximately $2.88 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap data. This downturn follows a more optimistic sentiment among industry participants at the beginning of the year, especially after Bitcoin reached $100,000 for the first time following President Trump’s election victory in November.

### Influences Affecting Market Sentiment

Unexpected macroeconomic changes have been largely responsible for the downturn that began in February. Once Bitcoin retraced below $100,000 following Trump’s tariff impositions and uncertainties regarding future U.S. federal interest rates, market sentiment shifted from optimism to fear. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index registered a “Neutral” score of 47 as of March 26, reflecting the prevailing uncertainty pervading the cryptocurrency landscape.

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Disclaimer: This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.