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The Challenges of Picking NFL Games in 2023

Navigating the unpredictable landscape of NFL games this season has proven to be a formidable challenge. Whether you’re betting against the spread or simply trying to pick winners, the level of uncertainty is palpable.

The Struggles of the Last Week

Last week was a particularly tumultuous one, culminating in a disappointing 7-9 record in my straight-up picks, a reflection of the chaos that unfolded during Week 3. The shockwaves of multiple upsets not only disrupted my selections but also sent ripples through survivor pools, leaving many participants scrambling for cover. This discouraging performance has dropped my season record to an even 24-24, which is still hard to fathom. A .500 record straight-up? What a rollercoaster!

The situation was even grimmer against the spread. With a record of 6-10, my overall performance now sits at a narrow 23-22-3. Thankfully, I do find solace in the fact that I’m still above .500 in terms of against-the-spread picks. Ironically, this record currently ties me for the lead in CBSSports.com’s expert picks. It’s quite amusing to think that this is the level of expertise we offer!

Moving Forward: A Fresh Week Ahead

With just one more week left in September, I’m hopeful for a change in fortunes as we transition into October—a month known for clarity in the league. The hope is that I can navigate this final week without further peril because, honestly, it can’t get any worse than last week’s performances.

As I assess the matchups for this week, the narrative unfolds around teams with contrasting fortunes. The Cowboys have been mired in a two-game home losing streak, while their rivals, the Giants, are riding high after a solid victory over the Browns. Dallas has been grappling with challenges on both of its lines, whereas New York’s defense put considerable pressure on Deshaun Watson last week. However, I believe the Cowboys will take corrective measures in their pass protection, leading to a stronger defensive display overall.

Pick: Cowboys 27, Giants 19 (Result: Cowboys 20, Giants 15)

To further inform my picks, I rely on experts like SportsLine’s NFL analyst, Larry Hartstein, who boasts an impressive 22-8 record against the spread concerning Cowboys games. He’s leaning towards the Over in this key matchup against the Giants. Make sure to check out his complete analysis at SportsLine.

Key Matchups to Watch

1. Saints vs. Falcons

Start Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

This early matchup is pivotal, with both teams looking to bounce back after disappointing losses. The Saints’ offense fell flat against the Eagles, while the Falcons’ revamped defense poses a renewed threat. Expect a gritty, low-scoring affair where I lean towards the Saints pulling off an upset.

Pick: Saints 20, Falcons 17

2. Bengals vs. Panthers

Start Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

The Bengals are struggling with an 0-3 start, while the Panthers secured a win under Andy Dalton. This should result in a high-scoring game, but I believe the Bengals will find a way to redeem themselves and keep their playoff hopes alive.

Pick: Bengals 31, Panthers 25

3. Rams vs. Bears

Start Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

After a comeback win against the 49ers, the Rams look ready to capitalize on Chicago’s struggles. Without a strong run game, the Bears are putting significant pressure on Caleb Williams. The Rams, led by Matthew Stafford, should emerge victorious.

Pick: Rams 26, Bears 20

4. Steelers vs. Colts

Start Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The undefeated Steelers have a physical approach to defense that should stifle Anthony Richardson and the Colts’ ground game. I expect this trend will continue, leading the Steelers to victory.

Pick: Steelers 20, Colts 16

5. Eagles vs. Buccaneers

Start Time: Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox, fubo)

The Eagles, after facing the Saints, will have a tough contest against the banged-up Buccaneers. With several injuries hampering Tampa Bay’s defense and offensive line, it might just be the Eagles’ day.

Pick: Eagles 23, Bucs 19

Harnessing AI for Better Decision Making

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By utilizing AI-driven solutions like the legalese decoder, you stand to gain insights into the intricacies of sports law and betting practices, empowering you to make more informed decisions as you plan your strategies. Whether it’s interpreting regulations or analyzing contracts, having the right information at your fingertips can make a substantial difference.

As we head into this next week of NFL action, let’s gear up for what could potentially be a turnaround, relying on expertise, data, and AI insights to navigate the unpredictability ahead!

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