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3 Mins Ago

## Year-end rally coming but won’t last long, BCA Research says

Peter Berezin of BCA Research noted that, while stocks are poised to rise as 2023 wraps up, that momentum will be short-lived. “We are approaching another phase transition from boom to bust. Investors should underweight stocks and overweight bonds on a 12-month horizon,” the firm’s chief global strategist said. “Stocks are poised to rally into year-end but will fall again in 2024 as the global recession begins.”

Berezin noted the U.S. economy is “nearing another phase transition. Labor demand is dropping, as evidenced by a shrinking jobs-workers gap.””If current trends prevail, the labor market will reach the flat portion of the labor supply curve by the second half of next year,” he said. “At that point, workers who lose their jobs will struggle to find new ones. Unemployment will start rising. A recession will ensue.”

ÔÇö Fred Imbert

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