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Market Update: S&P 500 Futures and Economic Concerns

Positive Movement in Futures

On March 13, 2025, traders were actively engaged on the trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange. S&P 500 futures experienced a notable rise early Friday morning following a disappointing trading session that had previously plunged the benchmark index into correction territory. The S&P 500 futures increased by 0.81%, while the Nasdaq 100 futures advanced by an impressive 1.05%. In addition, futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 231 points, equivalent to a 0.57% gain, signaling a potential rebound in the market.

Insights into Recent Market Declines

Despite the positive movement in futures on Friday, the broader picture reveals a troubling trend. Thursday’s trading session saw a decline of 1.4% in the S&P 500, which has now fallen by 10.1% from its recent record close achieved last month. This decline officially places the S&P 500 in correction territory, typically defined as a downturn of at least 10% from a prior high. Furthermore, both the Dow and the Nasdaq Composite indices experienced declines of 1.3% and nearly 2%, respectively, exacerbating concerns among investors.

Increasing Concerns Among Investors

The Nasdaq, having dropped further into correction territory, is now down more than 10% for the year. Adding to the complexity of the situation, the small-cap-focused Russell 2000 index has experienced a significant decline of around 19% from its recent highs, inching closer to a bear market, which generally indicates a drawdown of 20% or more. This alarming trend marks another significant chapter in the ongoing pullback that has impacted investors over the preceding three weeks. Chiefly, uncertainty driven by President Donald Trump’s inconsistent tariff policy has significantly influenced market stability and volatility, leading to adverse sentiments among traders.

Market Sentiment and Upcoming Economic Indicators

The Dow is poised for its second consecutive losing week, with the potential to record its worst weekly decline since June 2022. This marks the fourth consecutive negative week for both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, highlighting an ongoing trend that has unnerved investors. Adam Turnquist, the chief technical strategist for LPL Financial, commented, "In only a few weeks, the broader market has gone from record highs to correction territory. Tariff uncertainty has captured most of the blame for the selling pressure and is exacerbating economic growth concerns."

Preparing for Economic Data Releases

As Friday morning approaches, consumer sentiment data is poised to conclude a busy week of economic reports, which have included significant inflation figures. Investors are also preparing for the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting scheduled for next week. Current analysis suggests that fed funds futures are indicating a remarkable 98% likelihood that interest rates will remain steady, according to CME’s FedWatch tool.

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