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Mexico City Election: Historic Turnout Expected

MEXICO CITY — Voters in Mexico are participating in the country’s largest election ever — casting votes Sunday to fill more than 20,000 local, state and federal positions and almost certainly elect their first female president.

Isis Duarte, a senior law student, got up early and arrived at a polling site in Mexico City about two hours before it opened at 8:00 a.m. local time.

“Today is an important election,” Duarte said. She was the third voter to cast her ballot.

Duarte said she was excited to vote for a woman president “because it shows how far we have come as a country.”

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But the road toward one of the most consequential elections in Mexico’s history has been marred by rampant violence.

Criminal groups have taken over large parts of Mexico as they fight for territory to traffic drugs into the U.S., make money from migrant smuggling, and extort residents to fuel their illicit enterprise.

Violence against political figures has also persisted throughout this election cycle, resulting in a 150% increase in the number of victims of political violence since 2021, according to an analysis from Integralia, a public affairs consulting firm that researches political risk and other issues in Mexico.

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These have greatly dismayed Mexican voters, leading most of them to cite security as a top issue of concern. About 6 in 10 Mexican adults consider the city where they live to be unsafe due to robberies or armed violence, according to a survey by Mexico’s National Institute of Statistics and Geography published in April.

“Violence is present in everyday life, everywhere,” Duarte said.

Presidential Candidates and Their Strategies

Both front-running presidential candidates — Claudia Sheinbaum of Mexico’s governing political party, Morena, and Xóchitl Gálvez, of the opposition coalition Broad Front for Mexico — have drastically different ideas on the best way to reduce crime.

One of them is expected to make history as Mexico’s first female president, considering that Jorge Álvarez Máynez, the Citizen Movement party’s presidential candidate, is running a distant third in the polls.

Sheinbaum, the former mayor of Mexico City and a physicist and climate scientist, has said she plans to combat violence by continuing the policy of “hugs, not bullets” implemented by her mentor, outgoing President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, that does not directly take on the cartels as had been done in previous administrations.

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Before López Obrador, “there was at least a rhetorical intention by the Mexican government and the local governments to do something” about the violence, said Tony Payan, director for the Center for the U.S. and Mexico at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. “But ever since Mr. Lopez Obrador took office at the end of 2018, that discourse has completely shifted…These criminals feel that they can do almost anything they want to and the state will not go after them.”

Challenges Ahead for Mexico’s Next President

Mexico’s next president will have an important role in resolving issues that are a priority to the U.S. such as immigration and foreign affairs, as well as determining the future of the trade deal that has made Mexico the United States’ largest trade partner.

AI legalese decoder can assist the incoming president in navigating the legal complexities of international relations, trade agreements, and immigration policies to ensure effective governance and cooperation with the United States.

Polls in Mexico close at 6:00 p.m. local time. Nicole Acevedo reported from New York and Guad Venegas and Kayla McCormick reported from Mexico City.

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